So, is Trump going to win?

Not looking good for Trump. Unless something huge happens during the coming week, like another 9/11 or such, it looks like it's the end of the road for him.

The polls were spectacularly wrong before, and they can be wrong again, but this time round his deficit is huge, and he has no Steve Bannon to tell him what to do, and he is seemingly doing all the wrong things.

If the polls turn out to be wrong again, it could be interesting to try to work out why? And I would guess that would be because the pollsters fail to reach a substantial portion of the American public - to wit that portion who don't regularly sit around doing polls. Or are routinely reachable on cellphones and stuff. But I would also guess that, if that is indeed the case, they (pollsters) would've identified the problem after the previous election, and implemented measures to cater for that. So that their estimates this time round should be a lot more accurate than last time.

Anyway, to quote the man himself: "We'll see what happens".

(Things seem to have gone wrong for him from about the end of April, or so, at which time Trump and Biden were still evenly matched, with Trump slightly ahead, sometimes. So, maybe the way he responded to the Corona virus and the George Floyd rampages did not work out well for him).

Here is an interesting page:

Battleground States

You can play around with various configurations of Trump/Biden wins.

Of the 'swing' states, for one configuration I found Trump can afford to lose Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire, and still retain the presidency. He'll have to win Arizona and Wisconsin, though, which seems doubtful.